By Paul K. Davis
Effects-based operations (EBO) are outlined for thismonograph as operations conceived and deliberate in a platforms framework thatconsiders the complete diversity of direct, oblique, and cascading results
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Extra resources for Effects-Based Operations (EBO): A Grand Challenge for the Analytical Community
The latter is an issue paper written to inform the 1997 Quadrennial Defense Review. 2I have discussed this elsewhere as planning around “operational challenges” (Davis, Gompert, Hillestad, and Johnson, 1998; Davis, 2001b). The theme also appeared in the report on conventional forces to the Secretary of Defense (Gompert, 2001). Suggested Principles for Analysis in the Context of EBO 31 as defeat an armored invasion, achieve control of the seas in a region, or defend against a ballistic-missile attack.
To add further to this catalog of misjudgments, a number of past academic studies have discussed attempts to “signal” opponents and affect their behavior. By and large, the results have been overwhelmingly negative. , Cimbala, 1994; Jervis, Stein, and LeBow, 1985). Even in the exhaustively studied Cuban missile crisis, which featured powerful political leaders with strong supporting military and intelligence organizations, it is now believed that the favorable outcome was more tenuous than it was thought to be between 1962 and the end of the Cold War.
Military Capabilities ______________ 4 For more extensive discussions, see Davis (1994, ch. 4), Davis (2001a), and unpublished work by Davis and Hillestad (forthcoming). 34 Effects-Based Operations sometimes called a joint strike force (JSF). 5 The benefit is not characterized as resulting in a somewhat reduced best-estimate halt distance or somewhat reduced casualties in a standard scenario, but rather as increasing substantially the range of operational circumstances in which the intervention would be successful in defeating an invasion.
Effects-Based Operations (EBO): A Grand Challenge for the Analytical Community by Paul K. Davis
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